In Sápmi, there's a traditional belief that if the reindeer gather closely, there's a 60% chance it will rain the next day, and a 40% chance of clear weather. If the reindeer spread out, there's an 80% chance of clear weather and a 20% chance of rain.
Now, the herder sees the reindeer gather closely. What is the probability that it will rain the next day according to their traditional belief, using only whole numbers?
This is ChatGPT's math problem again-
